2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
Science

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest 52%
3rd hottest 43.5%
2nd hottest 37%
4th or lower 10.4%
No price history yet
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jul 6Jul 7Jul 7
No price history yet.
$309.65 Vol.

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record. Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

  • Resolver: official source.
  • Deadline: closing date in UTC.
  • Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
24h volume$309.65
Liquidity$1.4K
Outcomes4

Comments

Loading comments…

Frequently Asked Questions