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Prediction markets
63 active markets
· category “Geopolitics”
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US-Iran deal text released by...?
June 30
99%
June 17
99%
2 more
$2.21M
Vol.
Jul 1
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
July 31
12%
June 30
4%
2 more
$3.59M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
66 trading now
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM
99%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
23 more
$7.81M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
30%
July 31
8%
1 more
$15.8M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$85
66 trading now
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$38.0M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
66 trading now
Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?
JD Vance
81%
Steve Witkoff
74%
18 more
$150K
Vol.
Jul 7
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
52 trading now
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31
53%
March 31
1%
1 more
$6.21M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$47
70 trading now
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$70K
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
39 trading now
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$1.83M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
53 trading now
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$10.3M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
December 31
14%
September 30
9%
1 more
$1.03M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
59 trading now
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.40M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
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