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Prediction markets

26 active markets · category “AI”

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Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31
May 3199%
June 15
June 1599%2 more
$680KVol. Jul 31ai
Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA
NVIDIA96%
Apple
Apple2%26 more
$22.8MVol. Jun 30ai
Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

99%

chance

YesNo
$650KVol. Jun 30ai
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1490+
1490+99%
1480+
1480+99%2 more
$37KVol. Dec 31ai
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
1480+1%
1440+
1440+1%1 more
$65KVol. Dec 31ai
GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31
July 3195%
June 30
June 3081%1 more
$997KVol. Jul 31ai
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026
No IPO by June 30, 202699%
600B+
600B+1%5 more
$1.69MVol. Jun 30ai
When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

June 22–June 28
June 22–June 2871%
Not released by June 28
Not released by June 2823%6 more
$222KVol. Jun 28ai
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

<2
1%YesNo
2
1%YesNo
$14KVol. Jun 30ai
Best AI model on June 20?

Best AI model on June 20?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking97%
claude-fable-5
claude-fable-52%2 more
$27KVol. Jun 20ai
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1510
62%YesNo
1520
13%YesNo
$37KVol. Sep 30ai
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

83%

chance

YesNo
$310KVol. Jun 30ai