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Prediction markets
112 active markets
· category “AI”
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How to trade
Next Claude Opus released by...?
August 31
99%
October 31
99%
1 more
$1.34M
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
1450+
99%
1520+
1%
5 more
$508K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
57 trading now
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
1510+
99%
1500+
99%
4 more
$226K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
99%
1480+
99%
2 more
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$238
45 trading now
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic
95%
Company A
50%
30 more
$536K
Vol.
Aug 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
58 trading now
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Alibaba
69%
Other
50%
23 more
$62K
Vol.
Aug 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
49 trading now
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Alibaba
72%
Other
50%
23 more
$31K
Vol.
Sep 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
45 trading now
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
1%
1440+
1%
1 more
$65K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?
1470+
1%
1480+
1%
2 more
$25K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
38 trading now
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
1440+
99%
1450+
99%
3 more
$78K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic
90%
Company A
50%
30 more
$52K
Vol.
Sep 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
47 trading now
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