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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Business”
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
76%
1 (25 bps)
14%
11 more
$36.0M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
75 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.58M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$108K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
52 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
88%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.42M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
50 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
425k–450k
40%
450k–475k
36%
7 more
$75K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
46 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
45%
OpenAI
32%
12 more
$40K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
41 trading now
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
49%
chance
Yes
No
$118K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
45 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
21%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.88M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$117
62 trading now
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
38%
chance
Yes
No
$51K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$66
53 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$76K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
Morgan Stanley
7%
US Bank
7%
17 more
$24K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
47 trading now
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$2.2K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
43 trading now
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