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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
49%
December 31
48%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
0
47%
Yes
No
1
34%
Yes
No
$1.1K
Vol.
Aug 10
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
42 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
87%
Yes
No
$30K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
48 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
200+
39%
60-79
26%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$64
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
700mm+
46%
650-700mm
32%
8 more
$809.11
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
34 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
80%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
34 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
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