Prediction markets

14 active markets · category “Science”

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

chance

$99KVol. Mar 31science

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

190–21933%7 more

$5.6KVol. Jul 8science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.96MVol. Dec 31science

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1-1.5"31%5 more

$5.2KVol. Jun 30science

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

97%

chance

$5.0KVol. Jun 18science

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

chance

$110KVol. Dec 31science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

20%

chance

$224KVol. Dec 31science

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

32%

chance

$1.8KVol. Dec 31science

Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

60-70mm44%5 more

$4.1KVol. Jun 30science

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC43%

>1.29ºC41%4 more

$414.43Vol. Aug 1science

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

99%

chance

$5.4KVol. Jun 30science

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

chance

$640KVol. Dec 31science