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Prediction markets
18 active markets
· category “Big Tech”
How it works
How to trade
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
96%
chance
Yes
No
$129K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
55%
1T–1.25T
23%
5 more
$1.85M
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
58 trading now
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
99%
250B+
1%
6 more
$563K
Vol.
Jun 30
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
92%
Google
4%
17 more
$628K
Vol.
Jun 30
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
56 trading now
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 17)
IPO
57%
UFC
54%
18 more
$1.9K
Vol.
Jun 18
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
39 trading now
Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
93%
Google
3%
27 more
$60K
Vol.
Jun 30
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
44 trading now
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
August 31
88%
Successful splash down?
75%
4 more
$20K
Vol.
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
51 trading now
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
App C
50%
App D
50%
12 more
$2.4K
Vol.
Jun 20
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
32 trading now
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+
49%
1.2–1.5T
21%
5 more
$164K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
52 trading now
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk
95%
Warren Buffett
1%
35 more
$1.83M
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$32K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
53 trading now
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
91%
Up
Up
Down
$25K
Vol.
Feb 28
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
41 trading now
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